Webinar On-Demand: State of U.S. Elections in August 2024
Key Takeaways
Vice President Kamala Harris' nascent presidential campaign has given the Democratic Party a fresher and more popular image for key swing voter groups. Her arrival at the top of the ticket has also energized the Democratic base, which increasingly looks to her as its standard-bearer since President Joe Biden dropped his re-election bid in July.
But by public opinion standards, the Democratic Party remains in a worse place compared to four years ago, before voters' confidence eroded during Biden's presidency, leaving views of the Democratic and Republican parties' competence, empathy and fitness as close as they've been in a decade.
Meanwhile Tim Walz's favorability rating spiked from 18% to 38% as his unfavorables rose from 11% to 33% after Harris selected him to be her running mate, leaving his net favorability rating 5 percentage points above water, slightly superior to Republican vice presidential candidate JD Vance’s net rating of -1 at the same point of his own rollout.
In this webinar, recorded on Aug. 15, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET, Morning Consult analysts Jason McMann, Cameron Easley and Eli Yokley discussed the state of the Democratic Party ahead of the DNC and how Tim Walz's standing has changed since entering the race as the vice presidential candidate.
Jason I. McMann leads geopolitical risk analysis at Morning Consult. He leverages the company’s high-frequency survey data to advise clients on how to integrate geopolitical risk into their decision-making. Jason previously served as head of analytics at GeoQuant (now part of Fitch Solutions). He holds a Ph.D. from Princeton University’s Politics Department. Follow him on Twitter @jimcmann. Interested in connecting with Jason to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].
Eli Yokley is Morning Consult’s U.S. politics analyst. Eli joined Morning Consult in 2016 from Roll Call, where he reported on House and Senate campaigns after five years of covering state-level politics in the Show Me State while studying at the University of Missouri in Columbia, including contributions to The New York Times, Politico and The Daily Beast. Follow him on Twitter @eyokley. Interested in connecting with Eli to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].
Cameron Easley is Morning Consult’s head of U.S. Political Analysis. He has led Morning Consult's coverage of U.S. politics and elections since 2016, and his work has appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, Axios, FiveThirtyEight and on Fox News, CNN and MSNBC. Cameron joined Morning Consult from Roll Call, where he was managing editor. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Follow him on Twitter @cameron_easley. Interested in connecting with Cameron to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].