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Global Politics

Global Policy Outlook Series: Societal Polarization & Nationalism, H1 2025

June 2025

Report summary

Morning Consult’s Global Policy Outlook series provides monthly analysis of global sentiment on key issues at the intersection of politics and economics across 19 of the world’s largest markets, along with our six-month forecast of where policymaking is headed.

This edition assesses global public sentiment surrounding societal polarization and nationalism.

Heading into H2 2025, business leaders should take note: While global public sentiment has begun to turn against isolationism, consumer markets in Western Europe remain the exception, with many consumers in those markets continuing to embrace an inward economic turn that could have negative repercussions for U.S. multinationals. Immigration meanwhile continues to rile the public the world over, but with a notable counter-trend emerging in the United States.

Key issues covered in the context of these dynamics include:

  • Global trends in national pride and societal trust
  • Views on isolationism by country and region
  • Analysis of shifting sentiment surrounding immigration, with an uptick in pro-immigration sentiment in the United States visible across the partisan divide

 

Corporate decision-makers, risk management and financial services professionals, and public sector entities rely on this report series to understand how public sentiment is trending across critical policy areas and make business, investment and public sector decisions accordingly.

Data Downloads

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Trended Data File
A trended, sortable XLSX data file covering all monthly historical waves from May 2023 onwards among global adults and select demographics
xlsx
206Kb

Methodology

Sampling and data collection

This report relies on data collected through Morning Consult’s proprietary survey research capabilities. Data comes from monthly surveys conducted among representative samples of roughly 1,000 adults per country, with unweighted margins of error of +/-3 percentage points. All interviews are conducted online. Surveys begin fielding during the second half of the indicated month.

Data is weighted to approximate representative samples of adults in each country surveyed. Weighting parameters vary by country.

Consult our Global Political Intelligence Methodology Primer for additional details on sampling and data collection procedures, weighting and representativeness, margins of error, and question wording.

About the author

A headshot photograph of Jason McMann
Jason McMann
Head of Political Intelligence

Jason I. McMann leads geopolitical risk analysis at Morning Consult. He leverages the company’s high-frequency survey data to advise clients on how to integrate geopolitical risk into their decision-making. Jason previously served as head of analytics at GeoQuant (now part of Fitch Solutions). He holds a Ph.D. from Princeton University’s Politics Department. Follow him on Twitter @jimcmann. Interested in connecting with Jason to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].