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Updated on Jul 7, 2025
Updates weekly

Tracking Public Opinion of Trump's Washington

Trump’s approval ratings dip as OBBB becomes law

Morning Consult is tracking what voters across the country think about how President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress are governing the United States ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Each week, we’ll update this page with fresh and timely data on all of the major questions facing Washington, including views about the people in charge, the issues dominating the conversation and what is actually breaking through to the electorate.

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Key Takeaways

  • Trump’s approval bump fades: Trump’s approval ratings ticked back down as he signed the GOP’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law over the long weekend, erasing his popularity gains that followed U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities last month. Our latest survey shows 45% of voters approve of his job performance, down 2 percentage points from last week, and 52% disapprove, a 2-point increase over that time frame. His net approval rating is just shy of a record low we measured two weeks ago and in late April.

  • OBBB breaks containment: Roughly half (49%) of voters said they’d seen, read or heard “a lot” about the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, making it the most resonant of a dozen news items tested this week and ranking it among the biggest breakthrough stories of 2025 so far, according to our weekly tracking.

  • Trump’s approval rating on health care hits record low: Voters are 9 points more likely to disapprove than approve of Trump’s handling of health care, 50% to 41%, following media coverage of the GOP megabill’s cuts to Medicaid funding. It marks a major reversal since Trump took office, when voters were 9 points more likely to approve than disapprove of his handling of health care.

  • Perceptions of Republicans go unchanged after OBBB passage: The popularity of Republicans in Congress is almost identical to where it was before Congress sent Trump his major policy bill, with 41% of voters viewing them favorably and 49% viewing them unfavorably. The same is true for House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.), the latter of whom remains widely unknown even among the GOP base. 

  • Jeffries gets a small popularity boost: Awareness of House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) improved a bit among Democratic voters after his record-setting “magic minute” speech that delayed House Republicans’ passage of Trump’s bill. Our latest survey shows 51% of Democrats hold favorable views of Jeffries, up from 47% last week, driving a slight boost in his overall favorability rating. 

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People

Trump's approval ratings

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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters. Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

  • Trump began his second term by matching a record-high 52% approval from March 2017, but voters soured on his job performance during the most disruptive part of his trade war, and he’s yet to return to a net positive approval rating.
  • At a similar point in Trump’s first term, 46% of voters approved and 50% disapproved of his job performance, leaving his net approval rating a bit worse off today than it was at the same time in 2017.

Politicians' popularity

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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters. Net favorability is the share of voters with favorable views minus the share with unfavorable views.

  • Trump’s favorability ratings remain underwater, which has been the case more often than not since he took office.
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.), House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) and House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) still face relatively low awareness from the electorate, though awareness about the top House Democrat improved a bit following his pushback against Trump’s legislative agenda.
  • Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), the most high-profile congressional  leader, is also the most unpopular one, though he’s maintained good numbers at home in New York.

Policy

Voters’ priorities for the Trump administration

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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters.

  • Voters are most likely to want Trump to focus on lowering prices for goods and services, and specifically health care affordability, following a campaign that was dominated by voters’ concerns about inflation.
  • As Trump works to reach foreign trade deals, just 21% say he should make the imposition of tariffs a “top priority.” At the same time, as other issues have stolen the spotlight, 44% think he is making tariffs a top priority, a relatively low number compared with most other weeks of his presidency.

Trump’s performance on the issues

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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters.

  • The president receives his best ratings on national security (51%) and immigration (50%).
  • More voters than not disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, while he gets his worst marks on health care, abortion and LGBTQ rights.

Congressional trust on the issues

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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters. Trust gap is the share of voters who trust congressional Republicans minus the share who trust congressional Democrats.

  • Republicans hold sizable advantages over Democrats on trust to handle just two issues: immigration and national security.
  • Voters are significantly more likely to trust Democrats to handle LGBTQ+ rights, abortion, Medicare and Social Security and health care.
  • Voters are closely divided over whom they trust to handle energy, taxes, the economy, trade, foreign policy and the national debt.

News

The buzz on the politicians

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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters. Net buzz is the share of voters who heard something positive minus the share who heard something negative.

  • Voters are 16 points more likely to say they’ve heard something negative about Trump than positive, (48% to 32%), up from a second-term low of 24 points reached last month.
  • Few voters heard much about Johnson (55%) or Thune (70%) even as the two reached the finish line with their party’s signature legislative package.
  • Though Republicans enjoyed a narrow buzz advantage over Democrats between the November elections and the opening months of the second Trump presidency, the inverse has been true more often than not since late March.

The buzz on the issues

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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters. Net buzz is the share of voters who heard something positive minus the share who heard something negative.

  • Voters are 16 points more likely to hear something negative than positive about the economy, up from a 32-point buzz deficit reached at the height of Trump’s trade war in late April.
  • As was the case throughout much of the 2024 campaign, immigration has been one of the most salient issues voters are hearing about in the news, with 3 in 4 saying they'd heard something recently about it in our latest survey, the most since early February.

What voters are hearing about

Shares of voters who have seen, read or heard the following about …
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Latest survey conducted July 3-6, 2025, among registered U.S. voters. Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

  • Four in 5 voters said they had seen, read or heard at least something about the One Big Beautiful Bill Act following the Senate’s passage last week. That level of awareness is similar to the share who said the same about the outcome of the trial of Sean "Diddy" Combs, which ended in “not guilty” verdicts on the most serious charges he faced of racketeering conspiracy and sex trafficking.
  • Voters were twice as likely to say they’d heard a lot about the three-day wedding of Amazon founder Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sanchez in Italy than the Wisconsin Supreme Court's ruling that struck down the state's 1849 abortion ban.

Source of this data

Methodology

Morning Consult’s latest reported results reflect data gathered July 3-6, 2025, among a nationally representative sample of 2,203 registered U.S. voters, with a margin of error of +/-2 percentage points.

The survey is conducted online. Respondents are collected via quota sampling based on age, gender, education and voter registration status. This weekly sample is weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, gender, education, race and ethnicity, marital status, parental status, home ownership, geographic region and 2024 presidential vote choice. Morning Consult weighting targets are obtained using high-quality, up-to-date gold-standard government sources – including the Current Population Survey (CPS) and American Community Survey (ACS).

About Morning Consult

Morning Consult is a global decision intelligence company changing how modern leaders make smarter, faster, better decisions. The company pairs its proprietary high-frequency data with applied artificial intelligence to better inform decisions on what people think and how they will act. Learn more at morningconsult.com.

Email [email protected] to speak with a member of the Morning Consult team.

Eli Yokley
U.S. Politics Analyst

Eli Yokley is Morning Consult’s U.S. politics analyst. Eli joined Morning Consult in 2016 from Roll Call, where he reported on House and Senate campaigns after five years of covering state-level politics in the Show Me State while studying at the University of Missouri in Columbia, including contributions to The New York Times, Politico and The Daily Beast. Follow him on Twitter @eyokley. Interested in connecting with Eli to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].

Cameron Easley
Head of U.S. Political Analysis

Cameron Easley is Morning Consult’s head of U.S. Political Analysis. He has led Morning Consult's coverage of U.S. politics and elections since 2016, and his work has appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, Axios, FiveThirtyEight and on Fox News, CNN and MSNBC. Cameron joined Morning Consult from Roll Call, where he was managing editor. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Follow him on Twitter @cameron_easley. Interested in connecting with Cameron to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].