Tracking Biden’s Approval Rating in All 50 States
Surveys conducted March 2024 through May 2024 among a representative sample of registered voters in each state. Sample sizes and margins of error vary by state.
Morning Consult is conducting thousands of surveys every day, asking registered U.S. voters in all 50 states if they approve or disapprove of President Joe Biden's job performance. Every month, we’ll update this page with the latest tracking data.
See here for our page tracking the 2024 presidential race between Biden and former President Donald Trump. Sign up for the latest political news and analysis delivered to your inbox every morning.
Key Takeaways
Biden’s net approval rating is underwater in 45 states: This marks a major shift from the start of his tenure, when voters in just 18 states were more likely to disapprove than approve of his job performance. The Biden administration’s messy withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan in August 2021 — punctuating a summer of rising prices and COVID-19 cases after the vaccine rollout — precipitated much of the decline in the president’s popularity from which he has yet to recover.
Biden’s best states: More voters approve of Biden’s job performance than disapprove in California, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York and Washington. In the latter three, he is barely above water, with 48% disapproving of how he’s carrying out the presidency.
Swing-state momentum: Biden’s seen a modest improvement in his approval rating across key swing states since February, when our swing-state tracking for Bloomberg News found him trailing former President Donald Trump in 2024 by a record margin. However, Biden remains deeply unpopular in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In the 2024 battleground states, his approval rating is worst in Nevada, while the greatest improvement since February came in Wisconsin, where 40% of voters approve (up from 36%) and 56% disapprove (down from 60%).
Data Downloads
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Biden's latest approval ratings by state
- Throughout his presidency, Biden has been most unpopular in the country’s reddest states: Wyoming, West Virginia, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota. He’s most popular in the bluest states, including California, Maryland, New York, Massachusetts and Washington.
- In Montana, Nevada and Ohio — home to the three most competitive Senate races this fall — roughly 3 in 5 voters disapprove of Biden’s job performance, underscoring the tall tasks facing Democratic Sens. Jon Tester, Jacky Rosen and Sherrod Brown. However, our research has shown the incumbents are defying a significant drag effect from the unpopular president, with all three maintaining positive net approval ratings.
Trend over time: Biden's state-by-state approval rating
- Since a low point in Biden’s national head-to-head tracking against Trump, Biden has seen a slight improvement in his national numbers, and his approval rating in a number of states. The biggest improvement came in New Hampshire (+13 points on net), Utah (+9) and Wisconsin (+8) — though he remains underwater in all three.
- Biden’s net approval rating has declined by double digits in all 50 states, including by 40 points in his home state of Delaware, which he represented in the Senate for 36 years prior to his vice presidency in 2009. The latest figures show 44% of First State voters approve of him, while 53% disapprove.
Methodology
All state-level data is based on a three-month roll-up of responses from Morning Consult’s daily U.S. tracking survey among registered voters. Margins of error among registered voters vary by state, from as low as +/-6 percentage points in less populous states such as Wyoming to +/-1 point in more populous states such as California.
Consult our State-Level Tracking Methodology Primer for additional details on the state-level data sources, including sampling and data collection procedures, weighting and representativeness, margins of error, and question wording.
About Morning Consult
Morning Consult is a global decision intelligence company changing how modern leaders make smarter, faster, better decisions. The company pairs its proprietary high-frequency data with applied artificial intelligence to better inform decisions on what people think and how they will act. Learn more at morningconsult.com.
Eli Yokley is Morning Consult’s U.S. politics analyst. Eli joined Morning Consult in 2016 from Roll Call, where he reported on House and Senate campaigns after five years of covering state-level politics in the Show Me State while studying at the University of Missouri in Columbia, including contributions to The New York Times, Politico and The Daily Beast. Follow him on Twitter @eyokley. Interested in connecting with Eli to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].
Cameron Easley is Morning Consult’s lead analyst for U.S. politics. Prior to moving into his current role, he led Morning Consult's editorial coverage of U.S. politics and elections from 2016 through 2022. Cameron joined Morning Consult from Roll Call, where he was managing editor. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Follow him on Twitter @cameron_easley. Interested in connecting with Cameron to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].
