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Morning Consult | Bloomberg News Survey: Biden’s and Trump’s Ballot Performance as of April 2024

Swing-State Voters Aren't Convinced The Economy Is Improving, Support Billionaires Tax
Morning Consult / Bloomberg / artwork by Kelly Rice
By Press
April 24, 2024 at 4:30 am UTC

Decision intelligence company Morning Consult, on behalf of Bloomberg News, is conducting a monthly seven-state study in 2024 political swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) to uncover where voters stand on key issues surrounding the presidential election. 

The findings below reflect data at the state level for the seventh wave of this study. Also see results from the first (Oct. 5-10), second (Oct. 30-Nov. 7) third (Nov. 27-Dec. 6), fourth (Jan. 16-22), fifth (Feb. 12-20) and sixth (March 8-12) waves. 

Key Takeaways

    • Trump leads Biden 49% to 43% across the seven swing states being polled by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult.
    • A majority of swing-state voters see worsening economic conditions in the coming months.
    • An overwhelming 77% of registered voters in the seven states that will decide the 2024 presidential election like the idea of a billionaires tax to bolster Social Security shortfalls.
    • Biden has an edge in Michigan for the first time, but not other swing states, writes Eli Yokley, Morning Consult’s U.S. politics analyst in his new analysis.

Data Downloads

Pro+ subscribers are able to download the datasets that underpin Morning Consult Pro's reports and analysis. Contact us to get access.

All Swing States Aggregate Toplines_April 2024
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Arizona Toplines – April 2024
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Georgia Toplines – April 2024
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Michigan Toplines – April 2024
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Nevada Toplines – April 2024
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North Carolina Toplines – April 2024
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Pennsylvania Toplines – April 2024
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Wisconsin Toplines – April 2024
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Methodology:

This Bloomberg/Morning Consult survey, which identifies key issues in the 2024 election and measures how much voters trust Biden vs. Trump on these issues and how Biden vs. Trump perform on a ballot in swing states, was conducted from April 08 - 15, 2024, among a sample of 4969 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The interviews were conducted online, and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of swing state registered voters based on gender, age, race, marital status, home ownership, 2020 Presidential vote and state. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of +/-1 percentage point(s).

Interested in connecting with a member of the Morning Consult team regarding our recent data and analysis? Email [email protected].

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